Above is the daily chart of Russell 2000 (RUT) from last Friday, 10th June 2011. RUT is in downtrend and is testing its support, which is 765-775. With this we can anticipate what could happen next week and adjust our trading strategy regarding it. Overall I see the regional stock market are in downtrend in short term. The quantitative easing is maybe not to be continued also add the downtrend of the us stock market as well. Plan your trade well.

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Today I will review one of the Indonesian stock market ticker, BHIT (PT Bhakti Investama Tbk), which is an Indonesia-based investment banking company. The Company is engaged in content and advertising-based media, subscribers-based media, transportation, multifinance, telecommunication infrastructure and information technology, fund management, underwriting and brokerage and investment.  What about the price target for BHIT ?

Yesterday BHIT made a big move and many think that uptrend is over, but i don’t think so. It has potential to go up to 270 first. So let’s check the BHIT price movement in coming week.

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Last Friday the Dow Jones has reversed to uptrend, now we can also trade the Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) like SPY (S&P 500 ETF) and DJX (DJI ETF). Trading ETF options is also possible in this case. My next target for SPY is $134.2. For the DJX next first target is $125 and second target $125.6.

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Last night DOW shows strength and conformed with massive volume at the end of the trading session. So prepare go long for tonight. Happy trading.

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Above is the Dow Jones Industrial chart (DJI) using regression channel. The 100 sMA is acting as the support and weekly chart shows however the 50 sMA as the price support. I think it will still going down a bit until the next support 1 and 2 as shows  in the chart.

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From yesterday chart, I was looking at Alcoa Inc. (AA). Alcoa Inc. is engaged in the production and management of aluminum, fabricated aluminum, and alumina combined, through its participation in mining, refining, smelting, fabricating, and recycling. I don’t know whether a head and shoulder chart pattern is valid in AA. My trade plan for entry is around on 16.7$. Stop Loss is around 18.0$ and Target price is around 15.7$. The chart is below here.

Disclaimer On.

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US Market stock was falling down yesterday, continue last week downtrend move. If we look a bit of the channel in DIA, representing Dow Jones Index, it’s really conformed the trend. So waht is our trading plan ? For me, the best is wait at least until tonight as there will be so many important issues will be released tonight.

With the Quantitative Easing part 2 is still running, I think that the stock market is still in uptrend at least until the programm is over. Plan your trading well.

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PT Gajah Tunggal Tbk Indonesia is a manufacturing company, which operates in four segments: production of the tire, tire cord, synthetic rubber and others. Gajah Tunggal offers its tires and inner tubes for motorcycles, passenger cars and commercial vehicles. They export to more than 70 distributors in over 80 countries. Their products are under the brands GT Radial, Michelin and BF Goodrich.

Looking at the last financial statement Q1 2011, Gajah Tunggal Tbk (GJTL) has a profit growth of 34% compare to Q1 2010. Sales also increases to 25% and EPS to 35%. Annualized Return on Equity (ROE) is 34%. 5 year average growth for Earning per Share (EPS) / Equity / Sales as follows : 27% / 16% / 14% which is a good number for a manufacturing company.

I think the company revenue and earning is still growing due to the fact that Indonesia a growing country and every people now and then still need the personal transportation as the public transport are still not so good. So using very conservative earning growth calculation and with the annualized current EPS Q1 2011, I got the fair value for GJTL is Rp 3,755. Current stock price on 9th May 2011 is at Rp 2,550, which shows that it has margin of safety (MOS) around 32%. So I recommend a strong buy for the stock Gajah Tunggal (GJTL).

Disclaimer On.

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This question is on my mind now try to predict where the US stock market is heading in the coming next week. Nobody can predict the market. But i took a look at some poll and most of us is still 50 : 50 regarding the US stock market direction in the coming weeks. Most of the people voted that precious metal, oil and banking will move up or move down this coming week.

So reading this polling, for me is that don’t trade especially on this sector if you are not sure which one to take. Or you can pick that sector according to your judgement. I myself however still think that the US stock market is heading down due to the last week bad data ( unemployment etc ).

Next week on Thursday, 12th May 2011, there will be a lot important issues out, like retail sales, unemployment claims, Fed Chairman Bernanke speech etc.

So plan your trade well for coming weeks.

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Recently and until now, Silver is still in downtrend. Recently I found an article wrote by Jay Kaeppel about the Silver Seasonal Calender. It is so an interesting article. Now we are in the neutral period and soon in the unfavorable silver seasonal period. His important conclusion is that :

So with these data, better prepare to short the silver in coming months but it is not an absolute issue. Like in bullish period there will be some bearish time and via verca, so it’s the same with Silver.

Here it is the silver seasonal calender from Jay Kaeppel :

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